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Prošlu godinu obilježili su veliki padovi cijena dionica na globalnoj razini te krahovi najrenomiranijih financijskih imena u svijetu.
Činjenica je da je taj razvoj bio samo najava onoga što se već neko vrijeme prelijeva u realnu ekonomiju i što će nas vrlo izvjesno pratiti u 2009. godini.
Masovna otpuštanja zaposlenih u svim industrijskim granama a naročito u auto i financijskoj industriji te sukladno tome averzija banaka prema davanju novih kredita paralizirala je sustav diljem svijeta.
Kao posljedica navedenoga dogodit će se znatno smanjenje potrošnje, koja će u konačnici pogoditi čitavu ekonomiju. Vlade vodećih industrijskih zemalja u koordinaciji s njihovim centralnim bankama poduzele su i dalje poduzimaju sve što je u njihovoj moći kako bi potakle posrnula gospodarstva.
Kamatne stope koje teže prema nuli te stotine milijardi dolara i eura slijevaju se na tržišta u nadi da će biti iskra spasa. Za razliku od čitavog svijeta koji razmišlja, uz gore navedene mjere, čak i o smanjenju poreznih stopa, u Hrvatskoj još uvijek ne vidimo naznake mjera za poticanje gospodarstva.
Jedan od najvećih problema je zapravo nespremnost politike da prizna da smo u recesiji i baš zbog toga stanje u Hrvatskoj može vrlo brzo eskalirati ako poodmaklu “temperaturu” ne počnemo tretirati “antibioticima”.
Međubankarske kratkoročne pozajmice, čije stope dosežu razine od 20 posto na godišnjoj razini, crvena su lampica svima onima koji imaju i osnovnu ekonomsku naobrazbu.
Povijest nas uči da je svaka kriza ujedno i velika šansa i stoga zasigurno nije sve beznadno. Upitno je samo kada će sve mjere koje su poduzete početi davati učinke i da li će se morati još “jeftinog” novca ubrizgavati u ekonomiju.
Tržišta kapitala u prošloj godini je obilježila velika oscilacija, koja će vjerojatno ostati na visokim razinama dok ne dobijemo potvrdu u realnoj ekonomiji da su stvari otišle nabolje.
Dokle god bude neizvjesnosti oko vremena kada i kako ćemo do oporavka, treba zbog turbulencija i oscilacija dobro zavezati pojas. Samo oni koji imaju hrabrosti u krizi te oni koji imaju dugi dah i razmišljaju na duge staze, kako u ovoj krizi, tako i uvijek do sada, bit će dobitnici u razdobljima pred nama.
tomislav tukić (ST invest)
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Prošlu godinu obilježili su veliki padovi cijena dionica na globalnoj razini te krahovi najrenomiranijih financijskih imena u svijetu.
Činjenica je da je taj razvoj bio samo najava onoga što se već neko vrijeme prelijeva u realnu ekonomiju i što će nas vrlo izvjesno pratiti u 2009. godini.
Masovna otpuštanja zaposlenih u svim industrijskim granama a naročito u auto i financijskoj industriji te sukladno tome averzija banaka prema davanju novih kredita paralizirala je sustav diljem svijeta.
Kao posljedica navedenoga dogodit će se znatno smanjenje potrošnje, koja će u konačnici pogoditi čitavu ekonomiju. Vlade vodećih industrijskih zemalja u koordinaciji s njihovim centralnim bankama poduzele su i dalje poduzimaju sve što je u njihovoj moći kako bi potakle posrnula gospodarstva.
Kamatne stope koje teže prema nuli te stotine milijardi dolara i eura slijevaju se na tržišta u nadi da će biti iskra spasa. Za razliku od čitavog svijeta koji razmišlja, uz gore navedene mjere, čak i o smanjenju poreznih stopa, u Hrvatskoj još uvijek ne vidimo naznake mjera za poticanje gospodarstva.
Jedan od najvećih problema je zapravo nespremnost politike da prizna da smo u recesiji i baš zbog toga stanje u Hrvatskoj može vrlo brzo eskalirati ako poodmaklu “temperaturu” ne počnemo tretirati “antibioticima”.
Međubankarske kratkoročne pozajmice, čije stope dosežu razine od 20 posto na godišnjoj razini, crvena su lampica svima onima koji imaju i osnovnu ekonomsku naobrazbu.
Povijest nas uči da je svaka kriza ujedno i velika šansa i stoga zasigurno nije sve beznadno. Upitno je samo kada će sve mjere koje su poduzete početi davati učinke i da li će se morati još “jeftinog” novca ubrizgavati u ekonomiju.
Tržišta kapitala u prošloj godini je obilježila velika oscilacija, koja će vjerojatno ostati na visokim razinama dok ne dobijemo potvrdu u realnoj ekonomiji da su stvari otišle nabolje.
Dokle god bude neizvjesnosti oko vremena kada i kako ćemo do oporavka, treba zbog turbulencija i oscilacija dobro zavezati pojas. Samo oni koji imaju hrabrosti u krizi te oni koji imaju dugi dah i razmišljaju na duge staze, kako u ovoj krizi, tako i uvijek do sada, bit će dobitnici u razdobljima pred nama.
tomislav tukić (ST invest)
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17. svibanj 2024 02:31
