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[title] => Adrović otkrio klada možemo očekivati povećanje kamatnih stopa i koliko bi mogle rasti: To razdoblje moglo bi trajati tri do pet godina. Banke neće divljati
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Predsjednik Hrvatske udruge banaka Zdenko Adrović bio je gost N1 Studija uživo, govorio je o eventualnom povećanju kamatnih stopa.
Kaže da odluku Europske središnje banke oko povišenja kamatnih stopa možemo očekivati u 2023. Pojasnio je i zašto se povećanjem inflacije povećavaju i kamatne stope.
“Kad je visoka stopa inflacije, onda se kamata povećava kako bi se inflacija svela u neke željene okvire. Središnje banke se u načelu bore s povlačenjem novca iz opticaja i podizanjem kamatne stope”, objašnjava.
“Nitko ne zna koliko će skočiti kamatna stopa i u kojim vremenskim razdobljima”
Adrović je rekao da je očekivana inflacija 2 posto.
“Koliko će skočiti kamatna stopa i u kojim vremenskim razdobljima, to u ovom trenutku nitko ne zna. U načelu se radi da se kamatna stopa podiže postepeno. U ovom trenutku je kamatna stopa u Europskoj uniji negativna odnosno iznosti -0,5 posto. Mi očekujemo da će za jedan do dva postotna boda kamatna stopa vjerojatno u nekakvom srednjem razdoblju rasti. To bi bio vjerojatni scenarij, sigurni scenarij u ovom trenutku nitko ne zna”, ističe.
Razdoblje negativne kamatne stope, kaže, trebalo bi završiti negdje 2023.
“To znači da kad nastupi era pozitivnijih kamatnih stopa, da će to trajati neko razdoblje. Možemo očekivati da to traje kao neki poslovni ciklus, otprilike 3 do 5 godina”, govori.
Kazao je da banke sasvim sigurno neće divljati.
“Bankama je u interesu da njihovi dužnici ostanu financijski zdravi, da mogu vraćati kredite. I bankama je u interesu da se situacija ne mijenja drastično i dramatično. Naravno da postoji čitav niz instrumenata kojima se može pomoći ljudima ako dođe do povećanja kamatne stope, a jedan od njih je i prolongacija kredita. Ima čitav niz mjera koje se još uvijek mogu raditi da se ublaži rast kamatne stope”, veli Adrović.
Govoreći o tome imaju li banke novca za izdavanje novih kredita, Adrović kaže da su hrvatske banke jako kapitalizirane i po tome su, tvrdi, naše banke među najboljima u svijetu.
“Novca ima u izobilju i neće biti problema da se odobravaju novi krediti. Potražnja za stambenim kreditima već nekoliko godina raste. Očigledno je da se budi optimiziram stanovništva da svoje nekakve probleme riješi”, pojasnio je direktor Hrvatske udruge banaka.
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Predsjednik Hrvatske udruge banaka Zdenko Adrović bio je gost N1 Studija uživo, govorio je o eventualnom povećanju kamatnih stopa.
Kaže da odluku Europske središnje banke oko povišenja kamatnih stopa možemo očekivati u 2023. Pojasnio je i zašto se povećanjem inflacije povećavaju i kamatne stope.
“Kad je visoka stopa inflacije, onda se kamata povećava kako bi se inflacija svela u neke željene okvire. Središnje banke se u načelu bore s povlačenjem novca iz opticaja i podizanjem kamatne stope”, objašnjava.
“Nitko ne zna koliko će skočiti kamatna stopa i u kojim vremenskim razdobljima”
Adrović je rekao da je očekivana inflacija 2 posto.
“Koliko će skočiti kamatna stopa i u kojim vremenskim razdobljima, to u ovom trenutku nitko ne zna. U načelu se radi da se kamatna stopa podiže postepeno. U ovom trenutku je kamatna stopa u Europskoj uniji negativna odnosno iznosti -0,5 posto. Mi očekujemo da će za jedan do dva postotna boda kamatna stopa vjerojatno u nekakvom srednjem razdoblju rasti. To bi bio vjerojatni scenarij, sigurni scenarij u ovom trenutku nitko ne zna”, ističe.
Razdoblje negativne kamatne stope, kaže, trebalo bi završiti negdje 2023.
“To znači da kad nastupi era pozitivnijih kamatnih stopa, da će to trajati neko razdoblje. Možemo očekivati da to traje kao neki poslovni ciklus, otprilike 3 do 5 godina”, govori.
Kazao je da banke sasvim sigurno neće divljati.
“Bankama je u interesu da njihovi dužnici ostanu financijski zdravi, da mogu vraćati kredite. I bankama je u interesu da se situacija ne mijenja drastično i dramatično. Naravno da postoji čitav niz instrumenata kojima se može pomoći ljudima ako dođe do povećanja kamatne stope, a jedan od njih je i prolongacija kredita. Ima čitav niz mjera koje se još uvijek mogu raditi da se ublaži rast kamatne stope”, veli Adrović.
Govoreći o tome imaju li banke novca za izdavanje novih kredita, Adrović kaže da su hrvatske banke jako kapitalizirane i po tome su, tvrdi, naše banke među najboljima u svijetu.
“Novca ima u izobilju i neće biti problema da se odobravaju novi krediti. Potražnja za stambenim kreditima već nekoliko godina raste. Očigledno je da se budi optimiziram stanovništva da svoje nekakve probleme riješi”, pojasnio je direktor Hrvatske udruge banaka.
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14. svibanj 2024 04:57
